Technical analysis and forecasts

Currencies are believed to move in cycles, which means that one may try to estimate and predict their future fluctuations. Technical analysis helps to look into behavior of currency pairs on the basis of traded value, movement direction, investors’ common interests, and fluctuations history.

Technical analysis offers a trader a range of patterns that can predict price movement. Some of them predict a price reversal in one direction or another, others - a repetition of changes. To make it easier to use technical analysis, there is a number of indicators that include several parameters from the price chart. So, both experienced and novice traders can resort to technical analysis - it is believed that both of them should be familiar with the basics of technical analysis. It should be noted that forecasts made based on technical analysis cannot be considered 100% accurate, but they can still make trading more efficient. This page presents conclusions and forecasts made by RoboForex experts based on tech analysis.

31.08.2010

Technical Analysis 31.08 (Euro Index, AUD/USD, NZD/USD)

The Euro Index shows us first signs of reverse of the trend. The RSI indicator is forming both “head & shoulders” reversal pattern and “failure swing” pattern. When the patterns are completely formed, it will at least lead to the testing of the 104.33 level. The formation of the reversal pattern indicates more significant growth of Euro. The same can be found concerning some other currency pair.
30.08.2010

Technical Analysis 30.08 (AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD)

Australian Dollar has perfectly completed the “triangle” that was broken at the RSI indicator. Currently we can see the reversal pattern forming with the target in the area of 0.9121. We can expect testing of the channel’s lower side and try to buy the pair with the tight stop. Also the RSI indicator can be supported at the trend’s rising line and it is a sign to start buying as well.
27.08.2010

Technical Analysis 27.08 (AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD)

The AUD/USD currency pair changed its direction a bit. Here, RSI indicator is showing that the formed “triangle” has been broken indicating the possibility of a rising movement. To define our target, we use a width of a descending channel where the price is now. Today we expect one of the most important economic indicators in the USA, Gross Domestic Product, to be published. The indicator’s previous value was 2.4%; currently they expect GDP to increase 1.4% per annum in the second quarter. It can have a negative effect on American Dollar.
26.08.2010

Technical Analysis 26.08 (AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD)

Let’s get back to Australian Dollar that we sold following the reversal pattern; the price hasn’t dropped much and we had a small correction. Further on, we can expect a fall into the area of 0.8700 which will be a spot where the 4th point of reference is formed. Then the price will return to the level of 0.8885 and that’s where we start selling Australian Dollar with the general target in the area of 0.8580. If the price is out of the descending channel, it will lead to the situation when this case scenario will be cancelled.
25.08.2010

Technical Analysis 25.08 (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF)

Euro seems to be sold; here we can see a descending pattern with the target in the area of 1.2550. One can begin selling the pair starting from the level of 1.2700-1.2750, or wait for the testing of the channel’s upper border and only then sell with the tight stop.
24.08.2010

Technical Analysis 24.08 (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, NZD/USD)

The EUR/USD currency pair has almost reached the targets specified earlier. In fact, we could close positions, but according to the daily chart we can expect more significant fall, that’s why I would recommend to capture only a part of short positions.
23.08.2010

Technical Analysis 23.08 (Index USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, NZD/USD, AUD/USD)

We should analyze the USD index to get a complete idea of a range of currencies. As we can see, the price, after it had formed a descending pattern, broke the channel; then we had a classic return to the level where the channel was broken, and currently the price has reached new maximum, which is higher than the previous one.
19.08.2010

Technical Analysis 19.08 (EUR/USD, NZD/USD, AUD/USD)

The EUR/USD currency pair hasn’t formed the reversal pattern as we saw the fall in the rate. But one shouldn’t expect a significant fall, the most that can happen is that the pair will hit the new local minimum and then go up again. At Н4 chart we can see MACD “divergence” forming, it’s rather strong so it would be quite difficult to break it.